Tuesday, June 10, 2008

I have a prediction.

The Mac vs PC wars rage on. It's been fought in the streets of Desktop Publishing, Art and Music, design vs horsepower, etc. Of course one of the biggest fronts is that of computer viruses and other malware. We won't be discussing the finer points of 'why' today. Simply the fact remains, there is little malware targeted to the Mac OS and a whole bunch out there written for Windows.
If you like you may commence a Mac-PC argument with anyone nearby. I'll Wait.
Done? Good.
Anyone paying attention has noticed that Apple has released their new iPhone. The biggest part of this news is how cheap it is, somewhere in the $200 vicinity. Literally 1/3 the launch price of the original iPhone one year ago. Doing a little math here: cheap(ish) + massive marketing money + actually handy device = everyone within sight of one of those commercials will want one.
I think it's fair speculate that just like the iPod, there will be more iPhone users than Mac users over all. Apple of course has counted on both products to convince people to switch and buy their computers too, but that's peripheral to the discussion here.
Are we all agreed? the iPhone stands to transcend the Mac v PC debate and find its hands into anyone who's got $200 and an expired cell-phone contract.
Everyone ready? If you're paying attention you can probably guess my premonition already.

We're going to see the 1st live iPhone virus drop before we see a significant OSX virus drop.

Not a huge leap I know, but I think that the combination of a unified market share and developer's tools floating around out there will facilitate the malware creators to target the iPhone before the Mac OS.

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